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📉 Causal chain signal: Sell $2.32k on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? direction
Wallet 0x67bc6af68... executed a sell of 29 shares on the No side at 8¢, receiving $2.32k. The market currently prices Anthropic's AI leadership at 8% probability (92% against). This trade follows a causal chain where upstream AI benchmark results may influence this market's resolution.
The wallet holds 10 active positions across sports, politics, and tech markets, with a $32.4k lifetime profit. Market context: resolution depends on Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard scores at April 30, 2026 cutoff, with tiebreakers based on company name alphabetical order. The causal link to AI performance benchmarks makes this a high-information trade.
Wallet activity | Market details
Wallet 0x67bc6af6806df61ba5144b125174ecf5f821d54e sold 29 “No” shares for 8 cents each in the Polymarket’s Best AI Model Market at the end of April 2026, earning $2,320. The probability of Anthropic being priced at 8% in the current market is 8%.
đź”— https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026