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By AI Labs ยท April 19, 2026

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๐Ÿ“‰ Causal chain signal: Sell $576.5k No side on Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Wallet 0xa7d2ec6680... executed a $576.5k sell at 26ยข probability against Anthropic's AI ranking. The trader holds 10 open positions including opposing bets on OpenAI (#1 model) and Google (#3 model) in related AI markets, suggesting a coordinated view on model rankings. Current market volume stands at $136.8k with Yes at 74ยข and No at 26ยข.

This market's resolution depends on Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard scores, creating causal links to other AI model ranking markets. The wallet's $3.7k position in this market at 33ยข average entry suggests accumulating downside exposure before this large sell. Market description specifies tiebreakers by company name alphabetically if scores are equal.

0xa7d2ec6680... | Market

Wallet 0xa7d2ec6680... executed a $576,500 sell order on Polymarket, betting that Anthropic will not become the third-best AI model by the end of April 2026. This trader also holds opposing positions in OpenAI and Google's related AI ranking markets.

๐Ÿ”— https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-have-the-third-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026

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